Deontay Wilder vs Zhilei Zhang, Fight Predictions, Start Time, Odds, Preview, Undercard, Expert Picks
When Deontay Wilder and Zhilei Zhang meet in the ring in Saudi Arabia on Saturday, they will do so knowing the situation could be life or death for their championship hopes. Two of the heavyweight division’s most powerful punchers, Wilder and Zhang, enter the fight coming off a loss in their most recent fight, knocking them down in boxing’s glamor division.
In an interesting twist, Wilder and Zhang’s most recent defeat came at the hands of Joseph Parker, who entered the ring as an underdog in both fights. Parker now sits above both men in the heavyweight division, which is in a period of expansion following Oleksandr Usyk’s recent victory over Tyson Fury to become the division’s first four-belt undisputed champion.
Wilder is hoping to earn a shot at one of these championships, having previously held the WBC championship from 2015 to 2020 after suffering a knockout defeat to Fury.
Wilder is among the hardest pound-for-pound punchers in boxing history, scoring 41 knockouts in his 42 career victories. That power was unable to put Fury away in their three fights, where Wilder managed a split draw before being stopped twice. The Parker fight raised new concerns for Wilder as he did not fight aggressively, threw few punches and seemed generally uninterested in being in the fight en route to his 118-111, 118-110 and 120-108 defeats.
“I’m very confident in what I’ve been saying,” Wilder said at this week’s final press conference. “I’m really excited to be working alongside Eddie, we haven’t had the best relationship in the past, but the thing about time is that time brings changes and I’ve been part of the changes. , we are like a warrior’s drum, with a beat and a sound, and on this left side [with his four teammates in the 5 x 5 event] you can feel this energy that we’re not playing any games. We came to win and we came to knock them out. Five on five, we’re going to do a five-man sweep and I’m looking forward to Saturday night.”
That same level of passivity and lack of fire could spell disaster for Wilder against a fighter like Zhang, who has a lot of pop and loves to let his hands go early in fights. In 26 career victories, Zhang defeated 21 opponents.
After going undefeated in his first 25 professional fights, Zhang finally tasted defeat when he lost a somewhat controversial decision to Filip Hrgovic in August 2021. Zhang capitalized on this defeat by knocking out Joe Joyce to win the interim WBO title, retaining the belt with another knockout in the rematch.
Zhang’s fight with Parker also exposed some of Zhang’s flaws, particularly his tendency to run out of steam at various points in the fight. Several fights have shown Zhang fading in the later rounds, creating an interesting contrast between his tendency for early aggression to fade late versus Wilder’s recent inability to pull the trigger.
There are a few other notable fights on the card, including another heavyweight clash when Filip Hrgovic faces Daniel Dubois for the vacant IBF interim championship. Hrgovic has long been the IBF mandatory challenger and was under the impression that the fight with Dubois would be for the IBF world title after the sanctioning body declared it would take away the winner of the Usyk vs. Dubois. defend against Hrgovic.
Instead, the IBF is taking its time considering whether to grant Usyk an exemption for the Fury rematch. If they proceed with eliminating Usyk, the winner of Hrgovic vs. Dubois would presumably be elevated to world champion. That led to some confusion this week when Hrgovic was asked if he knew if the title would be on the line on Saturday.
“What do you mean it’s not? It should be,” Hrgovic said. “It should be for the belt, man. What are you talking about? You know, man, I hope it’s for the title. That’s what they told me, I don’t know.
WBA light heavyweight champion Dmitrii Bivol was originally scheduled to headline the card against IBF, WBO and WBC champion Artur Beterbiev in a fight to crown an undisputed champion. After Beterbiev was forced to withdraw from the fight due to injury, Bivol opted to remain on the card and will defend his title against the undefeated Malik Zinad.
Let’s take a look at the rest of the tie with the latest odds before we get to an expert prediction and pick on the main event.
Wilder vs. Zhang Fight Card, Odds
| ZhileiZhang-150 | Deontay Wilder +125 | Heavyweights |
| Filip Hrgovic -250 | Daniel Dubois +200 | Vacant interim IBF heavyweight title |
| Dmitrii Bivol (c) -3000 | Malik Zinad +1400 | WBA light heavyweight title |
| Raymond Ford (c)-160 | Nick Bola +130 | WBA featherweight title |
| Hamzah Sheeraz -225 | Austin Williams +180 | Middleweights |
| Craig Richards-160 | Willy Hutchinson +130 | Light heavyweights |
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Prediction
Fights are rarely harder to predict than Wilver vs. Zhang. This is because we simply don’t know which version of Wilder will appear. Wilder has better speed and power than Zhang, but that won’t mean anything if Wilder approaches this fight the same way he did against Parker. Zhang at least threw at Parker and scored two knockdowns that kept the final score close, while Wilder threw just 17 punches per round and landed 39 in the entire fight.
If Wilder is ready to go and has truly found his desire again, he’s a pretty easy pick to do what he’s always done and take down Zhang with a blast shot. If Wilder doesn’t have that fire, Zhang will put on the pressure early and rack up rounds to build a comfortable lead. But will that advantage hold if his tank runs dry and he becomes an open target for Wilder’s right hand?
Everything is a guess at this point, but it continues to be highlighted that Wilder admitted he had difficulty pulling the trigger on Parker and that is generally not a good sign in the later stages of a fighter’s career. Pick: Zhilei Zhang via UD
